FORECAST UPDATE REPORT - October 6, 2011
Slow Employment Growth Expected in 2011, Moderate Gains in 2012 (PDF)
The Office of Employment and Population Statistics (EPS) within the Arizona Department of Administration (ADOA) is forecasting a gradual increase in nonfarm employment in Arizona for the 2011-2012 projections time period. In comparison to the employment forecast released earlier in April, nonfarm employment growth has been forecast to be slightly slower in 2011 and moderate in 2012.
Forecast update Slide Presentation (PDF)
OCCUPATION PROJECTIONS - August 19, 2010
Healthcare Occupations Projected to Lead Growth in Arizona (PDF)
Although some occupational groups are expected to have gains, the forecast is for a net loss of about 36,500 jobs or -1.4% from 2009 through 2011. Between 2008 and 2018 the forecast average growth rate for all occupations in Arizona is 5.5% with a net gain of over 158,000 jobs. Some occupations are expected to grow faster than 5.5%, some slower, and some are expected to lose jobs. For details see the above report which includes narrative, tables, and graphs for short term (2009-2011) and long term (2008-2018) occupation projections in Arizona.
Forecast Methodology